CORONA VIRUS - SARS-COV-2 - Everyone needs to wear a mask.
We've known since Janurary.
From Janurary 24th
"Taken together, evidence so far indicates human transmission for 2019-nCoV. We are concerned that 2019-nCoV could have acquired the ability for efficient human transmission. Airborne precautions, such as a fit-tested N95 respirator, and other personal protective equipment are strongly recommended." [6]
"Taken together, evidence so far indicates human transmission for 2019-nCoV. We are concerned that 2019-nCoV could have acquired the ability for efficient human transmission. Airborne precautions, such as a fit-tested N95 respirator, and other personal protective equipment are strongly recommended." [6]
We've known about asymptomatic carriers since Janurary - Chris Martenson's Video from Janurary
#1 r0=3 - Case doubling
COMMENTARY
If r0=3 does not scare you (in the uk, currently it means a case doubling every three days) - you don't understand how exponentials work. Everything seems fine, and under control until the numbers really start to ramp up. This chart is the worst case scenario where the growth is unrestricted. As of the 28 March 2020 - this purely mathmatical numbers matches reality for the united kingdom with a pretty good degree of accuracy. [8] Everything presented below has been citated as much as possible. I don't want to cause panic, but we must know the facts if we're going to take this seriously. Our government is warning that things will get worse before they get better and predicting a maximum death rate of 20,000. And I hope they are right, I really do. But just as the virus doesn't care what social class or ethnicity or sexual orientation you have - it also doesn't care about mathematical models. We must take this seriously. This isn't to scare you, just drive home the reality that uncontrolled things can get really bad really fast. This chart makes alot of assumptions that the deathrate will stay at 5% of cases, that the R0=3 wont change. Like our government says the numbers are a moving target. This is why we're all in lockdown. You must take this seriously. We should be doing everything that we can - especially since we know we have asymptomatic spreaders, the virus can survive for days on surfaces and we are all congregating in grocery stores, potentially spreading the virus amongst the communities without even knowing it. This is why the R0 is three! Our worst enemy is not taking enough measures and I am very glad that the government is pulling out all the stops. |
#2 - MASKS WORK
"The growth of coronavirus cases has "flattened" in the Czech Republic ever since the country's government has made masks compulsory." [4]
"The country went from no mask usage to nearly 100 per cent usage, with nearly all the masks made at home with easily accessible materials, like old t-shirts." [4]
"The country went from no mask usage to nearly 100 per cent usage, with nearly all the masks made at home with easily accessible materials, like old t-shirts." [4]
"In asian countries, people wear masks. One of the reasons Korea has a relatively low rate of infection is because everyone is wearing a mask and washing their hands regularly."
#2a - Reducing viral inoculum
"We show for the first time that mice challenged with a 25 μL inoculum volume readily recovered following infection with an infectious dose of influenza A virus that was fatal when inoculated in 35 or 50 μL volumes." [7]
COMMENTARY
What this is saying is that the smaller the initial dose of virus particles that enter your body the more time your body has to respond to reduce symptoms and on the other side, if your body is exposed to mass infection its immune system can be overloaded and not be able to cope.
Even if masks don't stop transmission; it is assumed that in the united kingdom we are still working towards the goal of herd immunity; masks will reduce the initial amount of the virus that people's bodies are exposed to, meaning that even more people will get mild to no sypmtoms. Helping to flatern the curve, protect the NHS and save lives.
COMMENTARY
What this is saying is that the smaller the initial dose of virus particles that enter your body the more time your body has to respond to reduce symptoms and on the other side, if your body is exposed to mass infection its immune system can be overloaded and not be able to cope.
Even if masks don't stop transmission; it is assumed that in the united kingdom we are still working towards the goal of herd immunity; masks will reduce the initial amount of the virus that people's bodies are exposed to, meaning that even more people will get mild to no sypmtoms. Helping to flatern the curve, protect the NHS and save lives.
#3 People WITHOUT Symptoms CAN be infectious
“The explosion of COVID-19 cases in China was largely driven by individuals with mild, limited, or NO SYMPTOMS who went undetected” says co-author Jeffrey Shaman, PhD, professor of environmental health sciences at Columbia University Mailman School. [1]
"The virus has been detected in asymptomatic persons ..... Potential infectivity was confirmed by virus culture" [9]
"The virus can also be asymptomatic, causing no noticeable illness in some people. Such cases were first recognised in China in January" [2]
"People with no symptoms can have a very high viral load in their upper respiratory tracts, meaning they can shed the virus through spitting, touching their mouths or noses and then a surface, or possibly talking. Even people who don’t feel ill occasionally cough or sneeze" [2]
"A new analysis by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the US has found that viral droplets expelled in coughs and sneezes can travel in a moist, warm atmosphere at speeds of 10-30 metres (33ft-100ft) per second, it creates a cloud that can span approximately 7-8 metres (23ft-27ft)." [3]
"The researchers also warn that droplets can stay suspended in the air for hours, moving along airflow patterns imposed by ventilation or climate-control systems." [3]
"The virus has been detected in asymptomatic persons ..... Potential infectivity was confirmed by virus culture" [9]
"The virus can also be asymptomatic, causing no noticeable illness in some people. Such cases were first recognised in China in January" [2]
"People with no symptoms can have a very high viral load in their upper respiratory tracts, meaning they can shed the virus through spitting, touching their mouths or noses and then a surface, or possibly talking. Even people who don’t feel ill occasionally cough or sneeze" [2]
"A new analysis by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the US has found that viral droplets expelled in coughs and sneezes can travel in a moist, warm atmosphere at speeds of 10-30 metres (33ft-100ft) per second, it creates a cloud that can span approximately 7-8 metres (23ft-27ft)." [3]
"The researchers also warn that droplets can stay suspended in the air for hours, moving along airflow patterns imposed by ventilation or climate-control systems." [3]
#4 Quarantine needs to last for 4 weeks from first symptoms
"People appear to keep shedding the virus for around two weeks after they recover from covid-19, both in their saliva and stools." [2]
"After discharge [from hospital of mild cases], 14 days of further isolation with regular health monitoring (e.g. follow-up visits, phone calls) can be considered, provided the patient’s home is equipped for patient isolation and the patients takes all necessary precautions (e.g. single room with good ventilation, face-mask wear, reduced close contact with family members, separate meals, good hand sanitation, no outdoor activities) in order to protect family members and the community from infection and further spread of SARS-CoV-2" [9]
"After discharge [from hospital of mild cases], 14 days of further isolation with regular health monitoring (e.g. follow-up visits, phone calls) can be considered, provided the patient’s home is equipped for patient isolation and the patients takes all necessary precautions (e.g. single room with good ventilation, face-mask wear, reduced close contact with family members, separate meals, good hand sanitation, no outdoor activities) in order to protect family members and the community from infection and further spread of SARS-CoV-2" [9]
#5 The Virus can last up to 5 days on Metal, Wood and Plastic
Whilst we may not have had the data for this new SARS-COV-2 strain - we do have data from previous strains - and the precautionary principle tells us that we have to go with what data we do have until proven otherwise.
Persistence of coronaviruses on inanimate surfaces and their inactivation with biocidal agents [5]
#6 Masks can be made at home
"The [Czech Republic] went from no mask usage to nearly 100 per cent usage, with nearly all the masks made at home with easily accessible materials, like old t-shirts." [4]
#7 Don't make excuses
The data on the effectiveness of masks is quite clear.
Any objections you have to the facts are your own bias based personal preferences and social culture.
You have to ignore your own objections - the data says we should all be wearing masks.
If the facts alarm you, the problem isn't with the facts - Chris Martenson
Any objections you have to the facts are your own bias based personal preferences and social culture.
You have to ignore your own objections - the data says we should all be wearing masks.
If the facts alarm you, the problem isn't with the facts - Chris Martenson
Citations
[1] mailman.columbia.edu - stealth transmission fuels fast spread coronavirus outbreak
[2] newscientist - you could be spreading the coronavirus without realising you've got it
[3] independent.ie - coronavirus - two metres not enough when social distancing
[4] aninews.in - usage of masks flattened growth of coronavirus cases in czech republic
[5] journalofhospitalinfection Persistence of Coronavirus on inanimate surfaces
[6] thelancet.com - Clinical features of 2019 coronavirus [redacted]
[7] ncbi.nlm.nih.gov - Virus inoculum influence outcome
[8] worldometers - coronavirus cases and deaths - United Kingdom
[9] ecdc.europa.eu - COVID-19 Discharge criteria
[2] newscientist - you could be spreading the coronavirus without realising you've got it
[3] independent.ie - coronavirus - two metres not enough when social distancing
[4] aninews.in - usage of masks flattened growth of coronavirus cases in czech republic
[5] journalofhospitalinfection Persistence of Coronavirus on inanimate surfaces
[6] thelancet.com - Clinical features of 2019 coronavirus [redacted]
[7] ncbi.nlm.nih.gov - Virus inoculum influence outcome
[8] worldometers - coronavirus cases and deaths - United Kingdom
[9] ecdc.europa.eu - COVID-19 Discharge criteria